Gemüt&Lou · Campaign Data

Win Number Toolkit

Votes-to-win planning for Ohio HD-62, HD-63, and the Clermont County Commissioner race — the working calculator and the methods behind it, with sources.

Temporary working deployment
Tool 01

Win Number & Vote-Gap Calculator

Set turnout, target share, Democratic baseline, and persuasion rate; the vote gap and the three levers update live. Pre-loaded with HD-62, HD-63, and the Commissioner race.

Open the calculator
Tool 02

Win Number Methods & Sources

Every method for turning prior election data into a target vote count, each with its formula and source — plus the full derivation of the live performance numbers.

Open the reference
Note on the numbers: the figures inside both tools are a snapshot from the build that produced them — registration, turnout, and baselines from the official canvasses cited within. They don't pull from a live source, so when the underlying data changes the tool files are regenerated.